Europe's push for a unified digital identity system, intended to reduce reliance on big technology companies, may instead entrench the dominance of Google and Apple. The European Union's upcoming eIDAS regulation requires member states to offer digital ID wallets, but technical constraints around secure hardware could turn these wallets into a gift for the platform giants.
The Technical Trap
Digital ID wallets require a secure element, a dedicated chip or software environment that stores credentials in a tamper-proof manner. On modern smartphones, only Apple's iPhones and Google's Android ecosystem provide such capabilities natively. European governments building digital ID apps must therefore integrate with these proprietary platforms to meet security standards.
This dependency creates what critics call a structural lock-in. Banks, payment services and government portals will need to ensure their apps run smoothly with Apple Pay and Google Pay as the underlying identity layer. The result is a de facto requirement for developers to work within the walled gardens the regulations aimed to open.
Unintended Market Consequences
The eIDAS mandate could accelerate consolidation around the two dominant mobile operating systems rather than foster competition from European alternatives. Smaller European handset makers, which lack equivalent secure hardware, find themselves at a disadvantage.
Key concerns include:
Why This Matters
For European policymakers, this outcome represents a failure of intent. The digital ID framework was designed to increase user autonomy and reduce dependence on US-based tech firms. Instead, it grants Apple and Google a regulatory advantage that no new market entrant can easily replicate.
Citizens and businesses will face a future where proving identity online requires navigating systems controlled by the same companies European regulators have long sought to constrain. The practical result may be deeper integration with Google and Apple services, not less. Regulators now confront a choice: either mandate open standards for secure hardware or accept that the digital ID initiative will entrench the very market dominance it was meant to challenge.



